Defiant-Clogs
0x688496472c6553c739b1ec2cc1431ee55810417c
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-562.48
Realised
$923.71
Win rate
80%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2716 shares @ 15.9¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$411.41
$-19.69
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77846 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$194.62
$-0.54
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1449 shares @ 14.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.68
$-42.76
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1145 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.15
$-17.02
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5627 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$70.33
$3.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
330 shares @ 10.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.35
$28.60
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7067 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$60.07
$-50.61
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
309 shares @ 15.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.14
$7.21
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
160 shares @ 37.3¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$53.04
$-6.54
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7071 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.96
$2.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.22Jun 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.45Jun 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.45Jun 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.69Jun 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$0.14Jun 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.84Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.04Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$1.50Jun 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$0.84Jun 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$90.23Jun 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$0.33Jun 13, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$1.42Jun 13, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.35Jun 13, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.15Jun 13, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.72Jun 13, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.56Jun 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.33Jun 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.02Jun 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$4.80Jun 13, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.46Jun 13, 01:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 107 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.