Smug-Bonnet
0x688d9c343efa706eec1d8908ad94fb9ee110f51d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.71
Total PnL
$-2.66
Realised
$-3.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?
2 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2024$1.52
$1.02
- YES
Will Sparta Praha beat RB Salzburg?
1 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$1.19
$0.69
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 49.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.01
$0.51
- YES
Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?
38 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.65
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
1 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?$0.10Oct 8, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?$0.10Oct 8, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?$0.10Oct 8, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.10Oct 8, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$0.10Oct 8, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Illinois Presidential Election?$0.10Oct 8, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$88.70Sep 18, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$89.00Sep 18, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$88.70Sep 18, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$89.00Sep 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$88.70Sep 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$89.00Sep 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$88.70Sep 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$89.00Sep 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$88.70Sep 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$89.00Sep 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$89.82Sep 18, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$90.00Sep 18, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$89.82Sep 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$90.00Sep 18, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $69.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 8, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".