Muted-Dinosaur
0x688f4fcd71531024af3c08fbc0a0933ef817f544
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
177
Open notional
$15.60
Total PnL
$-127.13
Realised
$1.80
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 177- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
73 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.16
$1.06
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
79 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.00
$0.90
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
73 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.43
$0.33
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.07
$-0.03
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
23 shares @ 1.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$1.00
$0.67
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.95
$-0.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
92 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.87
$-0.23
- YES
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
92 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.87
$-0.23
- YES
Will Joey Atkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
73 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.59
$-0.51
- YES
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
47 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.49
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.54Apr 25, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLGensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.80Apr 23, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.83Apr 22, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$2.75Apr 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.71Apr 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.07Apr 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.16Apr 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.79Apr 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?$0.10Apr 9, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?$0.24Apr 8, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.08Apr 7, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.10Apr 7, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$2.36Apr 7, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?$0.30Apr 6, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD.AI launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.77Apr 6, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD.AI launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.33Apr 6, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?$0.46Apr 6, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?$1.94Apr 6, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.02Apr 4, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$1.00Apr 4, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 04:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.