Granular-Reluctance
0x68930eec188de99aa0d63a5b92ffe0b779560ca8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$33.00
Total PnL
$-27.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?
33 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$33.00
$16.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7 PM ET
51 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- LAKERS
Clippers vs. Lakers
31 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 24?$16.50Aug 22, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMMarlins vs. Guardians$28.36Aug 22, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarlins vs. Guardians$15.60Aug 14, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 23?$10.28Aug 14, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 23?$5.14Jul 21, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMLeague of Legends: T1 vs. AG.AL$0.00Jul 21, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeague of Legends: T1 vs. AG.AL$9.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Lakers$17.00Jul 14, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7 PM ET$26.00Jun 14, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?$1.00Jun 14, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 30?$0.00Jun 14, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 79°F or higher on May 30?$0.00Jun 14, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?$46.99Jun 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?$39.00May 30, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 79°F or higher on May 30?$1.00May 30, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEM10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$0.00Apr 29, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 30?$50.00Apr 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$40.00Apr 22, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase?$0.00Apr 22, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Hawks$0.00Apr 16, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $21.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 23:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".