Intentional-Probability
0x689acb7be2fa2005e3d5eddd4c495dba1e87ab74
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$84.21
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$-63.41
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
41 shares @ 61.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$40.84
$15.84
- PAIN
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A
29 shares @ 85.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$29.33
$4.33
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.00
$3.15
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.55
$2.05
- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
33 shares @ 75.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.50
$-20.50
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
2247 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- GEN.G
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
1273 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
1212 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-897.00
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
1104 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-861.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
690 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$25.19May 21, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A$25.11May 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$2.58May 21, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$25.68May 21, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$630.36May 21, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$561.97May 21, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$25.20May 21, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$586.60May 21, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$432.13May 21, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner$432.50May 21, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner$574.35May 21, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$569.84May 21, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$291.92May 21, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$201.34May 21, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$14.03May 21, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$483.21May 21, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$478.17May 21, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$428.97May 21, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$121.48May 21, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$178.56May 21, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $154.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 15:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".