Lively-Stacking
0x68a9864de07def9cd166fa300f06f413d4208428
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$6.26
Total PnL
$-95.26
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$0.13
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 10?
4200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 19?
1130 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on February 16?
1110 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.66
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?
1104 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 1?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 2?
1099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 28?
1095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 9-15?
1085 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$10.89Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$10.86Jul 9, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 5?$2.12Jun 5, 03:05 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.49Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 25?$1.1KMay 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 25?$1.1KMay 25, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$1.1KMay 24, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$1.1KMay 24, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 23?$1.1KMay 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 23?$1.1KMay 23, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 22?$1.1KMay 23, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 22?$1.1KMay 22, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 20?$2.13May 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 on May 11?$2.12May 12, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 5?$2.13May 5, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.02May 4, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 26?$2.13Apr 26, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $549.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.