Lustrous-Warmth
0x68a9cd3c8dc87b8c2ff5299dee45b0343e67eff9
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$52.42
Total PnL
$-397.98
Realised
$-21.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$27.03
$17.03
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.24
$-31.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 10.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.05
$-22.95
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.10
$-47.90
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?
1133 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?
512 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
203 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
174 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?
169 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
121 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$16.00Apr 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 11, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.45Apr 11, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$15.00Mar 15, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$15.00Mar 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.00Feb 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$27.97Feb 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$10.00Feb 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$25.00Feb 14, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$12.61Feb 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$50.00Feb 13, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$14.74Feb 9, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$22.06Feb 9, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$15.94Feb 8, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$15.00Feb 8, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$10.00Feb 8, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$5.00Feb 8, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.78Feb 8, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.00Feb 8, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $21.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 22:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".