Serene-Deduce
0x68bd8124879e7642756d97b8915ad77ae387290f
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-709.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
1349 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-12.70
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before August?
1052 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-380.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
450 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-175.43
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
187 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.61
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
74 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 29?
71 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?$200.00Jan 18, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$100.00Oct 30, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$150.00Oct 10, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?$100.00Oct 7, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift say "Trump" during Tonight Show on October 6?$0.00Oct 7, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?$62.22Oct 7, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift say "Trump" during Tonight Show on October 6?$0.00Oct 7, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift say "Trump" during Tonight Show on October 6?$10.00Oct 7, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$148.20Oct 7, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$175.43Oct 7, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$231.80Oct 7, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift say "Trump" during Tonight Show on October 6?$9.69Oct 7, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$3.0KOct 3, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$810.95Sep 19, 01:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Sep 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$53.78Sep 18, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$10.20Sep 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$500.00Sep 18, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$57.26Sep 18, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$356.22Sep 18, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $336.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 25, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".