Fond-Researcher
0x68c2ec61682b0b69ab5d3dbf10b38eedbb284765
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-829.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- FLAVIO COBOLLI
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
1848 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-139.89
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
635 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
523 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-34.39
- ILIA TOPURIA
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
313 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5
311 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
251 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
218 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-33.30
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$301.20Jul 20, 01:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $27.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.