Misguided-Bird
0x68d1563b864752fa7863a8ec9bc694dc684ecbe5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-354.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
2225 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.83
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?
1336 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?
456 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
214 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-92.48
- YES
Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Elon no longer world's richest before August?
164 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Pakistan strike on India by Friday?
141 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$96.42Apr 20, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$96.41Apr 20, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$35.24Apr 20, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$35.24Apr 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$20.03Apr 20, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$20.03Apr 20, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.79Apr 20, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$26.77Jan 23, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Martin Luther King" in January?$26.77Jan 23, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rolex" in January?$16.00Jan 5, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?$10.00Jan 5, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Martin Luther King" in January?$10.00Jan 5, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Jan 5, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$15.00Jan 5, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$49.00Jan 5, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$11.76Jan 5, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$14.76Jan 5, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$11.66Jan 5, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$11.66Jan 5, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$11.43Jan 5, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $13.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".