Pitiful-Actor
0x68d1dd69cb5b3441606a6632e26291d4826a9064
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-13.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 26, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.02Jan 26, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$1.03Jan 26, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$1.02Jan 21, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$1.00Jan 15, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.00Jan 15, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMBrevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.01Jan 15, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 7, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.50 by December 31?$1.01Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.01Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alberta vote for independence in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMTether insolvent in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pudgy Penguins floor price hit 30 ETH in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.