Alarmed-Caramel
0x68d804e2ccba2f865357ad6227c19dceefc073a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$45.32
Total PnL
$0.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
23 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.38
$0.38
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$3.34
$0.00
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.24
$0.00
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.69
$0.01
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.36
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 6?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$2.31
$0.01
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 6?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 5?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 7?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$1.76
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 7?$1.75Mar 4, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 7?$1.20Mar 4, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 6?$2.30Mar 4, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 6?$2.00Mar 4, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5?$3.34Mar 4, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 5?$2.00Mar 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.36Mar 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.24Mar 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.68Mar 4, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Mar 4, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$22.00Mar 4, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$14.00Mar 4, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$33.52Mar 4, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?$37.35Mar 4, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Flyers$447.20Dec 2, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$33.22Dec 1, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$196.77Dec 1, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?$36.34Nov 14, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $6.00 in October?$36.34Nov 14, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $6.00 in October?$36.16Oct 11, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 02:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".