Tough-Tick
0x68d81b530f0696cda4f2757e4af75761815aaf58
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-16.3K
Realised
$58.59
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$-692.50
- NO
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
40 shares @ 43.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.20
$11.00
- YES
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.11
$-43.89
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
220 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.29
$-0.55
- YES
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$-5.30
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
14314 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-728.89
- NO
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
13481 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-793.76
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12?
6544 shares @ 68.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
4735 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-987.79
- YES
Will Elden Ring: Nightreign win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
4650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 25, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $5.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.