Black-Mutton
0x68dbed42912551cbffcd15ff758ef62781ad44f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-13.95
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 6?
1097 shares @ 96.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.1K
$-12.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 5?
353 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$349.71
$0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?
247 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$227.67
$1.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?
139 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$128.21
$1.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 5?
15 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$14.99
$0.59
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
60 shares @ 16.6¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.61
$-6.39
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
2620 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-112.06
- YES
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11?
926 shares @ 83.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-775.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 13?
752 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 5?$282.61Jun 5, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?$93.50Jun 5, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?$66.97Jun 5, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?$66.45Jun 5, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?$118.12Jun 5, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?$9.20Jun 5, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 5?$349.02Jun 5, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?$1.50Jun 5, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?$2.54Jun 5, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?$14.51Jun 5, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?$274.38Jun 5, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?$303.25Jun 5, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 5?$109.66Jun 5, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$70.98Jun 5, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$6.90Jun 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$4.89Jun 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$4.89Jun 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$2.26Jun 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$52.80Jun 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$23.27Jun 5, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $125.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".