Bossy-Assessment
0x68df23c0bb57bc8034b5d105841cb39456c04be9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?
147 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?
144 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Trump lead in RCP on Sept 13?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Iowa Presidential Election?
56 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?
52 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMRed Wings vs. Lightning$57.21Apr 14, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Lightning$36.04Apr 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?$0.14Oct 8, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Iowa Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 8, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?$0.10Oct 5, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 5, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?$0.04Sep 30, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?$0.11Sep 30, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times?$0.13Sep 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lead in RCP on Sept 13?$0.10Sep 13, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.04Sep 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.11Sep 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.10Sep 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.07Sep 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.11Sep 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.11Sep 12, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.12Sep 12, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.11Sep 7, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.11Aug 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.05Aug 28, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $23.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.