Dearest-Sensitivity-Synergy
0x68e77237f030182b9480e1fa511df2233d60e3f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$645.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-92.91
Win rate
0%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?
1000 shares @ 51.6¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$645.00
$128.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?
17568 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-99.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
293 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 22-28?
293 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ET
268 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-149.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11PM ET
242 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-149.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6AM ET
202 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-108.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5PM ET
194 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-149.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 18?$534.05Aug 17, 16:01 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.00Aug 17, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on August 17?$1.4KAug 17, 09:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.99Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on August 17?$668.15Aug 16, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 17?$1.1KAug 16, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 17?$1.0KAug 16, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 14?$1.0KAug 14, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 15?$517.50Aug 14, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 14?$369.25Aug 13, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 13?$300.00Aug 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 14?$155.25Aug 13, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 12?$300.00Aug 12, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 13?$155.92Aug 12, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 11?$300.00Aug 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 12?$167.22Aug 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 11?$167.22Aug 10, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 9?$40.00Aug 9, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 10?$20.32Aug 9, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 8?$40.00Aug 8, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $238.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.