Frayed-Vanity
0x68ea9e5900aeaf6f2abc57f13d4165f301e777af
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$101.28
Total PnL
$0.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
76 shares @ 66.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$75.64
$25.64
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
26 shares @ 42.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$25.64
$14.64
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Solana above $155 on October 25?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?
72 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$11.00Oct 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $155 on October 25?$10.00Oct 22, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?$10.00Oct 22, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?$10.00Oct 22, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$10.00Oct 22, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Oct 22, 19:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $16.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 22, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".