0x68eda58abf6599a5a29678cd3fe5b5fbc41def44
0x68eda58abf6599a5a29678cd3fe5b5fbc41def44
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-108.20
Realised
$6.72
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
301 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$300.90
$5.45
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
150 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$150.45
$0.65
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
100 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$100.00
$5.50
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
100 shares @ 76.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$23.50
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
50 shares @ 19.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$50.25
$40.30
- NO
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
50 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$50.20
$0.25
- YES
US military action against Iran before July?
50 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$50.16
$18.06
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
50 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$50.07
$16.52
- NO
US recession in 2025?
50 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$50.00
$14.00
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
50 shares @ 49.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$50.00
$25.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$5.30Jun 23, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$24.90Jun 23, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$49.35Jun 23, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$49.45Jun 22, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$2.30Jun 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$49.55Jun 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$33.55Jun 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$14.00Jun 21, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$36.00Jun 21, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$14.00Jun 20, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by June 30?$49.95Jun 20, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$47.50Jun 20, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$32.10Jun 19, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$47.00Jun 19, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$9.95Jun 19, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$49.95Jun 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$4.00Jun 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$46.00Jun 18, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$38.00Jun 17, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$49.00Jun 17, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $30.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".