Merry-Pasta
0x68f0529e436ef4751700d6ce805a4ca081904116
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$15.00
Total PnL
$-152.87
Realised
$1.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
15 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.00
$6.90
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
147 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Cocaine" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
139 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
85 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
68 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
36 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$0.07Feb 28, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.12Feb 28, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$8.10Feb 27, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$0.92Feb 27, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$1.05Feb 27, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$1.00Feb 27, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$1.05Feb 27, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$4.00Feb 26, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.00Feb 25, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.00Feb 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$50.00Feb 25, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.00Feb 25, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$45.36Feb 25, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$62.65Feb 25, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$14.80Feb 24, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 24, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$25.00Feb 24, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$15.00Feb 24, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$15.00Feb 24, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 24, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $15.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.