Optimal-Granny
0x68f68a40f73a38714516633b7b6a96e627e07742
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$40.18
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$13.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
160 shares @ 29.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.60
$-14.80
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.58
$-1.42
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
12384 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-216.32
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?
893 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-103.65
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
739 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-161.09
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
662 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.56
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
632 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.69
- NO
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
505 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.29
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
504 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-91.00
- PATRIOTS
Bills vs. Patriots
350 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-163.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.