Afraid-Ectoderm
0x69005b1d77b7790105286a9cb6e84cad9480c0bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?
1060 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 25?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on April 3?
186 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?$228.23Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.57Jun 2, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?$228.02Jun 1, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$228.23May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$228.02May 22, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 21?$9.02May 22, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20?$219.22May 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 21?$9.00May 19, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.99May 19, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20?$219.02May 19, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$230.23May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$230.01May 13, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?$103.10May 13, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?$126.13May 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?$126.01May 8, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?$2.25May 8, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?$103.01May 8, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6?$231.23May 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6?$231.02May 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 6, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $127.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".