Insignificant-Photographer
0x6900aadefffad9f5128e7bc0d8e72870abb0fde1
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$14.64
Total PnL
$-338.40
Realised
$-111.23
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5
7 shares @ 70.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$7.09
$2.09
- OVER
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$4.40
$0.40
- OVER
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5
3 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$3.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
240 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- BUCKS
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)
226 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-116.81
- NEW YORK METS
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- CINCINNATI REDS
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- OVER
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$5.14Aug 7, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals$5.11Aug 7, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5$5.04Jul 2, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5$4.01Jul 2, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5$3.00Jul 2, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$2.06Jul 2, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$10.14Jul 2, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$13.64Jul 2, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5$17.98Jul 2, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$3.07Jun 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$7.07Jun 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5$2.04Jun 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5$16.05Jun 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.94May 25, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$103.64May 25, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$104.08May 25, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$142.26May 25, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$105.81May 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$10.00May 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.97May 25, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $30.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.