Jolly-Playroom
0x69091ffa5e62bdd67e03bd128a70320d6f758772
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$30.41
Total PnL
$-113.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NETS
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$5.41
$2.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$5.00
$2.10
- NO
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-14?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- NO
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
5 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.00
$0.40
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$5.00
$1.05
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?
12 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
12 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?
10 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMDota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$5.00Mar 14, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$3.95Mar 14, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner$3.00Mar 14, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$2.90Mar 14, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$3.85Mar 14, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner$2.75Mar 14, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-14?$2.50Mar 14, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: 76ers (-9.5)$2.98Mar 14, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$2.98Mar 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$2.98Mar 14, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5$6.35Mar 14, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$7.90Mar 14, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-13.5)$7.94Mar 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Golden Knights$2.89Mar 14, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?$3.24Mar 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$3.24Mar 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5$3.24Mar 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-13.5)$4.05Mar 13, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$5.00Mar 13, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Pacers$6.41Mar 13, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".