0x690af9ec6b61d475d2fa29124ce701743bdb2ea7
0x690af9ec6b61d475d2fa29124ce701743bdb2ea7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$14.64
Total PnL
$-9.09
Realised
$-0.70
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$5.00
$1.75
- NO
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.4m & 14.6m square kilometers?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.70
$0.68
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.28
$-0.28
- YES
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?
3 shares @ 21.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-0.54
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.05
$-0.25
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.05
$-0.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?$0.01Feb 23, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?$0.04Feb 23, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Feb 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?$0.01Feb 23, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?$0.04Feb 23, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?$0.00Feb 23, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?$0.00Feb 23, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.00Feb 23, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.00Feb 23, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?$0.01Feb 23, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?$0.05Feb 23, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Feb 23, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?$0.01Feb 23, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?$0.05Feb 23, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Feb 23, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?$0.01Feb 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?$0.01Feb 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?$0.01Feb 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?$0.00Feb 23, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $0.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.