0x690bd791382782d6ead236ec075d39552c118aed
0x690bd791382782d6ead236ec075d39552c118aed
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$154.97
Total PnL
$15.58
Realised
$49.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4344 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$106.44
$-17.24
- GHANA
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$19.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.88
$-5.13
- RONALDO
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
183 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.13
$1.13
- YES
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?
71 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.52
$-2.17
- YES
Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.19
$-2.19
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
74 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.71
$-0.66
- YES
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
373 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.19
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.09Jul 3, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance$20.58Jul 3, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?$1.03Jul 3, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?$1.03Jul 3, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?$1.03Jul 3, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$4.14Jul 3, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria?$1.03Jul 3, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5$1.96Jul 3, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5$1.96Jul 3, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.88Jul 3, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?$0.00Jul 2, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?$0.00Jul 2, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?$5.88Jul 2, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?$5.88Jul 2, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?$5.20Jul 2, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?$5.20Jul 2, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?$1.16Jul 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?$1.02Jul 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?$2.05Jul 2, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $11.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.