Damaged-Tinderbox
0x6910545a1a558863afdc399ba275b90c0b8d1779
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$9.45
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
756 shares @ 18.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.45
$-126.57
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
66133 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
50105 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-826.89
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
47957 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
27505 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
19934 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-697.38
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
11515 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-242.05
- YES
Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?
6452 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-76.49
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
2730 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-128.93
- YES
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?
2307 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.22May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.35May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.41May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.44May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.45May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.46May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.46May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.46May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.46May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.47May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.48May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.49May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.51May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.51May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.53May 6, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.10Jan 31, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.10Jan 31, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.10Jan 31, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.10Jan 31, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.10Jan 31, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $37.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.