Muddy-Wasp
0x69105f924a89b07e47262a093935580fef44fbed
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.56
Total PnL
$-27.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.56
$0.06
- NO
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?
220 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?
30 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.90
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-9.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?$11.85Oct 29, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?$4.05Oct 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?$2.20Oct 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$0.19Sep 20, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$9.71Sep 20, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4PM ET$5.00Sep 20, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $20.00Sep 20, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4PM ET$4.10Sep 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tencent have the top AI model on September 30?$30.44Sep 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the top AI model on September 30?$30.47Sep 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?$30.13Sep 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?$30.16Sep 13, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30?$28.93Sep 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30?$28.96Sep 13, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?$30.54Sep 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?$30.57Sep 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$30.71Sep 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$30.74Sep 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$32.01Sep 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$32.04Sep 13, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $22.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".