Simplistic-Civilisation
0x691c16fa728ce810d2cf0b0e6df8a7e09647622e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.43
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.67
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.53
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.44
$-0.00
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.34
$0.01
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$0.00
- NO
Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.6¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$1.20
$-0.02
- CAPITALS
Capitals vs. Panthers
4626 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Kings
2639 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Lakers
2254 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DUCKS
Senators vs. Ducks
978 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-449.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.46May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.26May 29, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $1.65May 29, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?$1.22May 29, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$1.33May 29, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.43May 29, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.45May 29, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.53May 29, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.43May 26, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.18May 24, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 24, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 23, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.21May 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.61May 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.62May 17, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$1.04May 15, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.17May 15, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.20May 15, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.24May 15, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".