Optimistic-Appendix
0x692f957e5ab2c7229c0102318595c055cfc5e99c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$19.62
Total PnL
$-3.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$3.64
$1.64
- YES
Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.23
$2.23
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 71.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.40
$0.40
- NO
Will no leader be out in 2025?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3200 and $3300 on July 21?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3000 and $3100 on July 18?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$3.78Jul 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3200 and $3300 on July 21?$1.00Jul 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAzerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?$1.00Jul 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$1.00Jul 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?$2.00Jul 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?$1.00Jul 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yablunivka before August?$2.00Jul 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party before October?$1.84Jul 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in 2025?$1.00Jul 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in July?$1.00Jul 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$2.00Jul 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no leader be out in 2025?$1.00Jul 17, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?$2.00Jul 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3000 and $3100 on July 18?$1.00Jul 17, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Jul 17, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 11:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".