Gargantuan-Keep
0x693453f9194b34e80e6a614b49a0854a509a0aa7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-965.00
Realised
$-26.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
301 shares @ 90.3¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$276.61
$4.36
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
200 shares @ 78.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$191.00
$34.00
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
200 shares @ 90.5¢·now 87.4¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$174.78
$-6.39
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
100 shares @ 74.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$98.50
$23.71
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$98.04
$6.96
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$95.71
$2.65
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$92.76
$15.54
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
100 shares @ 74.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$88.72
$14.47
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$84.58
$-5.51
- YES
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 84.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$78.83
$-5.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?$90.10Jul 14, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$75.25Jul 14, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$88.12Jul 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$22.08Jul 13, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$99.55Jul 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$73.08Jul 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$75.25Jul 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.40Jul 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$86.14Jul 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$25.92Jul 13, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $52.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.