Superb-Prostrate
0x6937b6ea7a2fb6f7c5bbf1f28d40a34e6fed2adb
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.39
Total PnL
$-9.53
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
6 shares @ 27.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$6.39
$4.62
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?
63 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Southampton vs. Leicester end in a draw?
28 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2024$0.00
$-7.98
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.69
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
2 shares @ 71.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton vs. Leicester end in a draw?$7.98Oct 16, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$0.60Oct 15, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?$0.50Oct 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.26Oct 11, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.77Oct 8, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.69Oct 8, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$5.13Oct 8, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.10Oct 8, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$1.73Oct 8, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$4.46Oct 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$4.35Oct 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.15Oct 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$15.91Oct 8, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?$1.89Oct 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3.71Oct 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.75Oct 4, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.31Oct 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.32Oct 4, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.55Oct 4, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.56Oct 4, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.