Quirky-Swing
0x693e90e354649977afd210d9358b8c9ef1d69149
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-101.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11AM ET
206 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 1?
165 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?
115 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22?
111 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 28?
110 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 6PM ET
105 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 11?
105 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?
92 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 22?
91 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?
72 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?$153.21Jul 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?$0.53Jul 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?$150.38Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 2?$1.54Jul 1, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 28?$1.53Jun 28, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 1?$120.00Jun 1, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 1?$118.08May 31, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$1.22May 29, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$2.52May 26, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$155.19May 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$146.34May 24, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 14?$27.73May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$105.08May 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?$3.42May 9, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$102.24May 8, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down on April 25?$116.77May 8, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on January 26?$0.00May 2, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 27?$1.79Apr 28, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on April 25?$114.55Apr 25, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 16?$109.91Apr 25, 13:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $51.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.