Plastic-Willingness
0x6948996d2623a3de84259ea9fc8a02cdcbe763aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.27
Total PnL
$-817.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- DEMOCRATS
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
549 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.27
$-9.73
- YES
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?
3788 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2023$0.00
$-75.75
- YES
Will Lebron James win NBA ’21-’22 MVP?
1105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2022$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31?
1058 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2022$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?
1002 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2022$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
977 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2022$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022?
925 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?
911 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2022$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
870 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2022$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022?
833 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2022$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBalaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?$75.75Mar 19, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through August?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEM[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEM2022 Winter Olympics: Will the USA or Canada get more gold medals?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by February 15, 2022?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD overtake EUR again by August 1?$0.00Jan 6, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15?$283.75Jul 15, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13?$129.62Jul 14, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?$390.84Jun 18, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022?$379.34May 12, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by April 1st, 2022?$255.18Apr 18, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?$77.71Jan 4, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?$20.47Jan 4, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021?$0.00Jan 4, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? $0.00Dec 8, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $75.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.