True-Authority
0x694995a550429f5db2215fbb05918c231eb0a179
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$45.62
Total PnL
$-938.50
Realised
$-150.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.04
$-1.96
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
124 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.63
$-5.37
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
123 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.95
$-9.05
- NO
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?
4693 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-460.28
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
501 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-87.00
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
200 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.40
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
150 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-58.50
- NO
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?
112 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-52.72
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $122K and $123K on July 21?
91 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- KOPYLOV
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov
90 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-24.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.