Tired-Democrat
0x694a5fa8e9412b8115955dd0de848989e9a94f7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$159.77
Total PnL
$-0.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US defaults on debt by 2027?
65 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.49
$0.39
- NO
US defaults on debt in 2025?
31 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$31.01
$0.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 88.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.27
$-2.73
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
25 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$0.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
15 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.00
$0.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$30.00Dec 31, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$30.00Dec 31, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS defaults on debt in 2025?$30.48Nov 7, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$24.50Nov 7, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$14.67Nov 7, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS defaults on debt by 2027?$61.10Nov 7, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$28.95Nov 7, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out before October?$18.18Nov 7, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $81.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.