Trifling-Hydraulics
0x694eaf7572ba682955ea1d73573bb233f1d56f26
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-490.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Don Samuels win the MN-5 Democratic House District?
1360 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2024$0.00
$-91.13
- YES
GPT-5 announced in Q2 2024?
972 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$0.00
$-37.91
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?
696 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-361.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Don Samuels win the MN-5 Democratic House District?$91.13Aug 7, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?$34.88Aug 3, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?$56.25Aug 3, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?$260.38Jun 27, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?$101.32Jun 27, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump in jail before election day?$200.00Jun 18, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEM(In-game Trading) Who will win the Celtics v. Knicks game on October 20th?$0.00May 31, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before election day?$320.00May 29, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 announced in Q2 2024?$37.91May 29, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?$40.00May 29, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?$250.00May 28, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?$303.08May 28, 20:59 UTC
- REWARD$0.33May 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWas Caitlyn Jenner hacked?$4.0KMay 27, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Caitlyn Jenner hacked?$2.1KMay 27, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Caitlyn Jenner hacked?$545.11May 27, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Caitlyn Jenner hacked?$174.68May 27, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Caitlyn Jenner hacked?$412.47May 27, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Caitlyn Jenner hacked?$727.36May 27, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEM(In-Game Trading) Who will win the Bucks v. Heat game on October 21st?$0.00May 14, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $566.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.