Modest-Walnut
0x695039a28b0793373d8e1f56534a2d1218d986a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$19.78
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$-332.20
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.09
$-31.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
422 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$-48.31
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1268 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-270.68
- KINGS
Mavericks vs. Kings
808 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-573.35
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
712 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- LIGHTNING
Lightning vs. Jets
614 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-392.71
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Nets
609 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- BRUINS
Bruins vs. Kraken
504 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-280.33
- OILERS
Kings vs. Oilers
502 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-294.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings$84.99Apr 3, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings$50.00Apr 3, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings$50.00Mar 30, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOilers vs. Stars$184.99Mar 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlyers vs. Wild$156.47Mar 12, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Stars$100.00Mar 12, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Sabres$100.00Mar 12, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Jets$0.00Mar 12, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Jets$356.47Mar 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Jets$306.56Mar 11, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMLightning vs. Sabres$114.25Mar 10, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMPanthers vs. Blue Jackets$192.31Mar 10, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Sabres$55.87Mar 8, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlues vs. Ducks$100.00Mar 8, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand$40.00Mar 8, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSabres vs. Penguins$195.87Mar 6, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Jets$142.71Mar 5, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Jets$250.00Mar 5, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Penguins$100.00Mar 5, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Blue Jackets$100.00Mar 5, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $126.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".