Some-Permit
0x69570df07ce894cd33c9b5bd78064a2572b03d11
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- UP
Solana Up or Down on October 4?
1200 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-26.40
- KINGS
76ers vs. Kings
1180 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-495.60
- 49ERS
Seahawks vs. 49ers
930 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-437.10
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Knicks
750 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-292.50
- BUCCANEERS
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
670 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-455.60
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
600 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?
430 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-296.70
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
348 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.92
- RAVENS
Ravens vs. Steelers
312 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-199.68
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-21?
300 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-186.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$9.04Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 15?$0.47Jul 15, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 15?$0.42Jul 15, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$6.79Jul 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$4.30Jul 15, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$1.80Jul 15, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$5.40Jul 15, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$3.60Jul 15, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$0.72Jul 15, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 15?$31.56Jul 15, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 15?$2.87Jul 15, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 15?$32.50Jul 15, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 15?$1.00Jul 15, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 15?$1.00Jul 15, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 15?$5.00Jul 15, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?$6.20Jul 15, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?$7.60Jul 15, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?$2.22Jul 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?$3.87Jul 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?$12.46Jul 15, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $50.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.