Both-Adult
0x695a0fd98a9f0eb90b2959e8fc4e59686e556ee6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
862 shares @ 95.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$728.33
$-91.79
- NO
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
300 shares @ 86.1¢·now 85.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$257.25
$-1.05
- YES
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1179 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$253.57
$-17.25
- YES
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$156.00
$-10.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 82.4¢·now 74.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$148.80
$-16.00
- YES
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
750 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$146.25
$11.25
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?
78 shares @ 88.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$56.76
$-11.66
- YES
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
49 shares @ 92.1¢·now 80.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$39.38
$-5.90
- YES
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1050 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$35.17
$-3.87
- YES
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$17.00
$3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.29Jul 28, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.18Jul 28, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.20Jul 28, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.22Jul 28, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.16Jul 27, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.20Jul 27, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.81Jul 27, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$4.00Jul 27, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$58.40Jul 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$24.85Jul 26, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$2.44Jul 26, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$86.10Jul 26, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?$3.30Jul 26, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$4.77Jul 25, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$5.79Jul 25, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$10.44Jul 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$22.00Jul 25, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$23.00Jul 25, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$86.50Jul 24, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$23.00Jul 24, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $145.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 10:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.