Harmless-Candidacy
0x695add38d23685136e4a39c412b38af9248c15c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-548.74
Realised
$218.73
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Will NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?
2888 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
2146 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 12?
1082 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
1033 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
843 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 10?
804 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?$50.00Mar 1, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Feb 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.79Feb 25, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Feb 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$7.83Feb 25, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$2.21Feb 25, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$11.98Feb 25, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.00Feb 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.00Feb 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.93Feb 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 22:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.