True-Experimentation
0x69620d57bd129d3463983dd854875c88cd194846
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$17.99
Total PnL
$-126.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?
16 shares @ 41.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$15.84
$9.24
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
2 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- MAPLE LEAFS
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
256 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-128.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?
21 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?$1.76May 23, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?$2.26May 23, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?$4.14May 23, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?$4.53May 23, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 13, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Islanders (-1.5)$130.00Apr 9, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: LiXO eSports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group A$1.02Apr 9, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$3.08Apr 9, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$3.19Apr 9, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$3.00Mar 4, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$2.00Mar 4, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$3.00Mar 4, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: LiXO eSports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group A$1.00Mar 4, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.04Mar 4, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?$2.04Mar 4, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?$5.32Mar 4, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 23, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?$2.00Feb 23, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 23, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$1.04Feb 23, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $9.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.