Rotating-Tenet
0x696fe9802e42bcba7818ccb6fdde1313d95d8f04
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-168.86
Realised
$-1.95
Win rate
14%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on June 3?
267 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 8?
151 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?
117 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11?
109 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 11?
86 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 10?
85 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 4?
79 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 7?
68 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12?
65 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 4?
62 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$15.18Jul 29, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 28?$0.07Jul 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$0.12Jul 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?$1.35Jul 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 28?$3.39Jul 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$5.62Jul 28, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?$13.82Jul 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 26, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?$0.02Jul 26, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?$1.59Jul 26, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?$2.60Jul 26, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?$6.14Jul 26, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?$1.70Jul 24, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?$7.27Jul 24, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?$2.17Jul 24, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?$7.80Jul 24, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$2.74Jul 23, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$5.82Jul 23, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$3.24Jul 23, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$6.29Jul 23, 02:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 08:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.