Lively-Bay
0x69740da7f7347d51c6297beb648add167fd586d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-61.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?
541 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$540.70
$3.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
540 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$540.00
$2.70
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
250 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$250.00
$0.50
- YES
Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
1029 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?
569 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 November 3-9?
506 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
402 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $113K on August 3 at 5PM ET?
301 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
258 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.44
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
51 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$249.50Mar 29, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in March?$537.30Mar 27, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$537.30Mar 24, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$850.00Mar 19, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$6.44Mar 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$379.24Mar 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$379.62Mar 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$309.07Mar 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$309.38Mar 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$849.15Nov 27, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?$169.00Nov 22, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 November 3-9?$3.00Nov 8, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 31?$550.00Nov 4, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 31?$548.90Oct 30, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$109.67Oct 29, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 8?$190.00Oct 29, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?$214.45Oct 29, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125K in September?$370.00Oct 29, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Richard Carapaz finish in the top 10 at the 2025 Tour de France?$410.00Oct 29, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?$540.00Oct 29, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $221.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".