Turbulent-Earplug
0x697eeca73351a5d4a54c374079c130a911f8394a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$18.94
Total PnL
$-875.09
Realised
$13.44
Win rate
63%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$6.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
9 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 22?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.63
$-0.37
- YES
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.11
$-3.89
- SAUDI ARABIA
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First Corner
1700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 7?
248 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
194 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
143 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 22?$4.05Jun 22, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?$3.70Jun 22, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$2.05Jun 22, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$3.04Jun 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 21?$3.88Jun 21, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 21?$2.05Jun 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?$2.05Jun 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First Corner$1.75Jun 21, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?$4.04Jun 21, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 21?$4.24Jun 21, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?$4.50Jun 21, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21?$3.04Jun 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 21?$3.05Jun 21, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 21?$4.01Jun 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?$3.05Jun 21, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?$3.03Jun 21, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score$12.16Jun 20, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score$3.04Jun 20, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$5.16Jun 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 20?$2.03Jun 20, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
79/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
32 closed markets, 63% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.