Dramatic-Talent
0x69811f43fcc2c220a719dafe214c8d9bb0b8e643
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$43.53
Total PnL
$-76.59
Realised
$2.89
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
211 shares @ 8.8¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$20.47
$1.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 22?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 22?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$4.28
$3.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?
16 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.96
$-0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 22?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 22?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$2.06
$-2.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 22?
14 shares @ 27.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.29
$-2.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 22?
31 shares @ 9.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.22
$-1.78
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- NO
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?
192 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.86
$-2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?$19.46Jul 21, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel$3.11Jul 21, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSegovia: Digvijaypratap Singh vs Keegan Smith$3.14Jul 21, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-21?$5.19Jul 21, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$2.05Jul 21, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.07Jul 21, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMinnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm$12.16Jul 21, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm$4.16Jul 21, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$3.76Jul 21, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$3.16Jul 21, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 22?$5.23Jul 21, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 21?$1.05Jul 21, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 21?$10.42Jul 21, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 21?$1.05Jul 21, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 22?$1.05Jul 21, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.