Lumbering-Dirndl
0x69885b519d2217345833bae6a43b659bf47d7b06
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-234.83
Realised
$-5.01
Win rate
0%
100 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 3 Argentina?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Croatia 3 - 3 Ghana?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 Australia?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$8.06Aug 19, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$6.01Aug 19, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.14Aug 19, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.08Aug 19, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.09Aug 19, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.01Aug 19, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.79Aug 19, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.59Aug 19, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.10Aug 19, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.07Aug 19, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.07Aug 19, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$2.11Aug 19, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.07Aug 19, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$6.77Aug 19, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.13Aug 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.09Aug 19, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.75Aug 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.05Aug 17, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.06Aug 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.07Aug 17, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 100 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
100 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 05:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 100 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.