Self-Assured-Fraction
0x698adffde15b91f06bfa7783c8ca08f4f92ecc0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.04
Total PnL
$-40.31
Realised
$-0.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
15700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.70
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 13?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
28 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
17 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 11, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oman strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$2.00Mar 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$5.00Mar 11, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$1.00Mar 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$2.00Mar 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?$2.00Mar 10, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$1.41Mar 10, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.33Mar 10, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 13?$0.83Mar 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?$0.71Mar 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$5.70Mar 10, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 10, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$1.00Mar 10, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.