Early-Bobcat
0x698d382339451f6b38095992fe6d2ae28659a8ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.23
Total PnL
$-5.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.98
$0.99
- YES
Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2024$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Biden pardon SBF?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
SBF reduced sentence because autism?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2024$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Is John McAfee alive?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump be Speaker by May 1?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2024$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Biden drops out of presidential race?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.99Mar 29, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 29, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Biden both win nomination?$1.00Mar 29, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1.00Mar 29, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$5.00Mar 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs John McAfee alive?$1.00Mar 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be Speaker by May 1?$1.00Mar 29, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSBF reduced sentence because autism?$1.00Mar 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon SBF?$1.00Mar 29, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.