Anguished-Nest
0x698ea0b7f2ace7d48db7c0081b58b15e9fcb79bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$-84.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1220 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.2K
$219.51
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
19606 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.0K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
8603 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
5149 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-676.75
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
3000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-418.75
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
2667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
337 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-94.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$3.3KJan 16, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$242.42Jan 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$715.21Jan 15, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$2.0KJan 15, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$596.00Jan 15, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$1000.00Jan 15, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$460.00Jan 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$480.00Jan 13, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1000.00Jan 13, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$1.1KNov 10, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$892.57Nov 6, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$886.31Nov 6, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$6.25Nov 6, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$94.22Nov 6, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$21.93Nov 6, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$72.29Nov 6, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$158.37Nov 6, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$150.00Nov 6, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$252.98Nov 6, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$55.40Nov 6, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $411.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 06:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.