Probable-Buffet
0x69911f2e94eddbbc386c70955d707e91a5f1adca
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
587 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
543 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SOUTH CAROLINA STATE BULLDOGS
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartans
250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be less than 60 minutes long?
125 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?
57 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on February 25?$2.77Feb 25, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on February 25?$6.30Feb 25, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?$0.00Feb 25, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?$30.14Feb 25, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.00Feb 24, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.16Feb 24, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?$1.00Feb 24, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?$1.00Feb 24, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?$1.30Feb 24, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?$4.00Feb 24, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?$1.40Feb 24, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?$22.00Feb 24, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?$1.50Feb 24, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?$1.00Feb 24, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?$1.30Feb 24, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.